Asian Union (AU): It’s time for India, Pakistan and China to unite to avoid chance of an apocalyptic nuclear war.
American scientists have warned that the lingering potential of a nuclear war for the state of Jammu and Kashmir would have cataclysmic and apocalyptic consequences. Researchers from Rutgers University, University of Colorado-Boulder and University of California, Los Angeles have stated that the nuclear war for Jammu and Kashmir would destory the Earth's ozone layer.
The International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW) a Nobel Peace Prize-winning organization and the Physicians for Social Responsibility (PSR) have predicted that the potential nuclear between India and Pakistan would have a catastrophic impact on the entire world’s atmosphere destroying agriculture and sending the world’s food market spiralling out of control. This would lead to the deaths of over 2 billion people around the world and “end human civilization” as we know it.
However, could an economic based Asian Union (AU) akin to the European Union (EU), that was forged in the aftermath of World War II, be the golden solution and avert the risk of disaster for the entire Earth and it’s environment?
India today has 110 nuclear war heads where as Pakistan has 120. Pakistan is now growing it’s nuclear stockpile to over 250 by 2025, when according to forecasts Pakistan will have the 3rd largest nuclear arsenal in the world overtaking Great Britain and China.
Majority Hindu India and majority Muslim Pakistan have been at war since 1947 over the state of Jammu-Kashmir. China is also involved and occupies a part of the state of Jammu-Kashmir, after fighting a full fledged war with India in 1967, and recently China made military agreements with Pakistan to move it’s army into Pakistan occupied Jammu-Kashmir to protect a strategic oil delivery motorway it is building there. China has over 200 nuclear war heads.
Since the 1950s the people of India, Pakistan and China were drastically radicalised in nationalist sentiments. This nationalist fundamentalism was used as a means to unify these vast and culturally diverse Empires. However, the very modus operandi that helped to create each state now stands to absolutely destroy them along with the rest of the natural world. Perhaps it is a way of nature as it tests the adaptation of an organism to survive, similarly these states and the global civilisation as a whole are now being tested.
Initially India and Pakistan were dived in 1947 under the British administration as it was feared a civil war would break out between the Muslim and Hindu factions under one united democracy governed by the locals. However, the division based more on personal egos and prejudice involving Jinnah, Nehru, Mountbatten and Gandhi was a blotched process from the beginning, leaving 500,000 dead and 14 million displaced in the largest mass migration in human history. Now is’s ill formed legacy stands to threaten the very survival of the human race.
The conflict between India and Pakistan is hard to comprehend for the neutral observer as India has a minority of 177 million Muslims and Pakistan’s majority Muslim population is 178 million. While the main difference between these two democracies being that India has a secular constitution and Pakistan has an Islamic one. Yet perhaps the real reasoning for the democratic state of Pakistan to grow it’s nuclear stockpile is the concern over it’s state’s identity. It would appear insecure next to such a large and similar nation as India with a total population of over 1.25 billion.
In ideal scenario a reunion of the two states as one secular democracy with the common goal of economic development would be the best course to peace and remedy, leading to stability for the region and world at large. A newly founded secular democracy would now border both Afghanistan and Iran and provide an invaluable ally in the current geopolitical climate. Perhaps it should have already been done post the Cold War when in 1991, West Germany and East Germany reunited to grow into one of the most economically powerful countries in Europe. The conflict between India and Pakistan too was perpetuated by the Cold War with the United States supporting Pakistan especially during the CIA’s operation Cyclone for Afghanistan and Russia and the KGB supporting India.
This would have to be a new nation, with a new flag, new name and new joint army as it had been for almost 200 years prior to 1947 under the British administration. A new name is crucial as the people stand divided by phycological associations to the names of their countries created in 1947.
The solution of reunification of India and Pakistan has the further clear benefit of resolving the vast majority of the Jammu-Kashmir conflict, as the state would be a part of the newly formed secular democracy under the protection of a new unified armed force. This would be perhaps the greatest rebranding exercise in history, however one that would be in the business interests of the Indian and Pakistani people and that of USA, Russia, Europe and China too. It would also absolve the United Nations which has constantly failed to resolve the issue for over 67 years since UN Security Council resolution 47 of 1948 despite the ability to call for a democratic referendum in the state of Jammu-Kashmir.
Yet considering the the difficulties of an absolute reunion based on the psychological conditioning of the people the prospect of an economic union based on the European Union model can be perhaps presented in a way as not to touch the nationalistic nerve and draw on the accepted common interest of all states towards economic growth.
An Asian Union with the aim towards introducing a single currency and borderless travel within a free trade area has the further advantage of drawing in other Asian states in the future and creating geopolitical stability across this volatile region and also addressing one of Pakistan’s fears for stockpiling nuclear weapons which is being left behind economically next to the much larger economies of India and China. This solution already has some precedence in the region between Nepal and India which operate an open border and the free movement of labour between the two countries.
However the AU may not directly resolve the Jammu-Kashmir conflict which is the main threat of nuclear annihilation for the world and probably the greatest hindrance towards an AU itself. Yet with the right treaty the sovereign dispute for Jammu-Kashmir can be used as the spur cause of the AU giving host to several solutions. One of which can be it’s restoration as an independent neutral state like Switzerland, or a sovereignty spilt between India, Pakistan and China as is the case of Andorra which has had it’s sovereignty split between the two co-Princes, the French President and a Spainsh archbishop based on a treaty from the 13th century. Similarly Jammu-Kashmir can have 3 heads of states sharing it’s sovereignty with a joint armed force for it’s defence. As Jammu-Kashmir is landlocked between just those 3 countries once peace and economic treaties are jointly ratified in the AU a unified armed presence can be used to jointly tackle the seven or so terror networks operating in the state which are mostly a cold war remnant of the CIA’s operation cyclone for funding of the Mujahideen.
Thus a diplomatic and economic solution to the Jammu-Kashmir conflict based India and Pakistan burying the hatchet and unifying as an Asian Union will not only resolve the threat of global nuclear desolation, but will create the conditions to alleviate many maladies plaguing the entire region and help lift millions out of poverty. As daunting as this notion may seem now, it may be perhaps the natural progression especially considering that the Union and Confederate states could come together after the bloody American Civil War in 1865. Therefore there is no real reason with 21st century communications for a peaceful accord not to be reached between these two culturally similar populations which share over 5000 years of history and the same future economic aspirations.